Flare M on AR4479
Taken by Sylvain Weiller on July 1, 2026 @ Jerusalem, Israel
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The sunspot is extraordinarily complex, yet the arch itself is elegantly simple and beautiful. M1.3 flare — 2026-07-01, 10:08 UT Same setup as yesterday... ===== EMPIRICAL FORECAST ===== Current UTC : 2026-07-01T10:41 UTC Events entered : 7 Events used (<24h) : 6 Sum = 23.59 Maximum = 11.10 Last flare UTC : 2026-07-01T10:08 UTC Time since last flare : 0.6 h Forecast for the next 24 hours Mode : M/X Activity Probability of M3+ flare : 77.9% Probability of M5+ flare : 61.0% Probability of X flare : 54.5%
Photographer's website:
https://sweiller.free.fr
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